Metodologia de seleção de rotas de evacuação de emergência para caso de rompimento da UHE-Tucuruí

Abstract

Dams play an important role in Brazilian social and economic development. Although even when considered low risk, incidents involving dams can cause significant damage, and despite several potential costs resulting from material damages, the loss of a human life is the most meaningful in damage scale. Evacuation in case of disruption is a complex process that is the aggregated result of many factors, such as evacuation mode and characteristics of evacuation routes. In this context, the present work aims to determine a methodology for selecting emergency evacuation routes for the urban area of Tucuruí municipality located downstream of Tucuruí Hydroelectric Power Plant (UHE-Tucuruí), regarding the condition of a dam failure only. The methodology adopted is based on the optimization of evacuation routes, minimizing and/or excluding intersections along the way, this proposal follows an adaptation of route selection method developed by Zhang et al. (2016). The methodology was applied in four stages, the first was the division of the municipality into manageable zones according to the socioeconomic characteristics and road distribution, the second was the creation of the intersection table (adjacency) between the roads, the third was the determination of the exit routes, responsible for the displacement of the population to another municipalities and the fourth was the development of route selection method that has as a final product, a table of evacuation routes considering all possible exits of high risk area. The method establishes as the best route choice the one with the fewest intersections in the evacuation path. As a result, the methodology proved to be effective when applied in Tucuruí, generating possible evacuation routes within the entire urban perimeter of the municipality, providing affordability since it does not use software that requires a license and high application cost, being showed as a method of easy acceptability and communication among the population to be evacuated, providing time travel reduction, safer evacuation and traffic load balance between different exits.