Norteando o voto: o impacto do Programa Bolsa Família no comportamento do eleitor do Norte do Brasil

Abstract

From several analytical perspectives on the 2006 presidential elections, this thesis aims to analyze the impact of federal income transfer program, Bolsa Familia, in the decision of the residents’ vote of the north region of Brazil. The research strategy used is a comparative analyzes, confronting the results of the 2002 and 2006 presidential elections polls and correlating the amount of beneficiaries by the Bolsa Familia program with the amount of votes in the application of Lula da Silva, in each city of the region. The empirical analysis identified, in the north of Brazil, the constituency changes of the PT candidate going for the less developed cities, as well as the program positive impact in the election of the candidate, considering the improvements of his electoral performance in the region. In the study, it is possible to point, still, the peaceful coexistence, in 2006, a pattern of voting behavior rational, sociological and psychological, with predominance of the former one, but without turning it into universalizing theory.