2012-07-232012-07-232007-11-23PARENTE, Andressa Tavares. Incidência de malária no Estado do Pará e suas relações com a variabilidade climática regional. 2007. 99 f. Dissertação (Mestrado) – Universidade Federal do Pará, Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária, Belém, 2007. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Ambientais. Disponível em: <http://repositorio.ufpa.br/jspui/handle/2011/2857>. Acesso em:.https://repositorio.ufpa.br/handle/2011/2857The objective of the present work is to approach a diagnostic study on the malaria incidence in four different regions over the Pará state in the eastern Amazon, seeking its relationships with the regional climate variability, with the population growth and rates of deforestation. Time series containing 35 years of annual data (1970-2005) and 14 years of monthly data are used. The percentiles technique was employed in order to establish five categories or classes of the malaria incidence rates and precipitation for each municipal district.Results based on the analyses using annual data showed that the cities present different factors that contribute to the endemic profile. The growth of the population has direct relationship with the increased malaria incidence in Anajás, Itaituba and Santana do Araguaia. In Anajás, the precipitation was not a decisive factor in the occurrence of the parasitosis. In Santana do Araguaia and Viseu the highest rates of the malaria incidence occurred in years with rainfall deficit. For Viseu, the normal precipitation pattern also categorized high malaria incidence. Concerning the deforestation rates from 1988 until 1995, the curves of malaria incidence follow the deforestation rates. From 1995 onwards, it was evidenced consecutive years of high rates of malaria incidence just after the years characterized with higher deforestation rates, as observed during 1995, 2000 and 2004. Composites analyses based on objective selection of the indices of malaria occurrence categorized by the percentiles, allowed to define annual features of the regional climate variability in each city. In general, years with higher malaria indices area associated with the Pacific El Niño and warmer than normal oceanic conditions over the north Atlantic basin, while the years with lower malaria indices are related to the Pacific La Niña and no significant signal in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Results obtained from monthly data base, using composites based on objective selection of climate events observed over Pacific and Atlantic Oceans, it was investigated the response of such mechanisms on the monthly evolution of the malaria incidence over the Pará state. The El Niño composites revealed "negative" impacts, i.e., systematic and significant increase in cases of malaria occurring in a sequence of months in Itaituba and Santana do Araguaia. For Anajás and Viseu, the El Niño scenario is associated with "positive" impacts i.e., malaria incidence in the medium and low categories. Concerning La Niña composites, a widespread response over most of Pará state is verified, with predominance of higher malaria incidence in the four cities and processing persistently during the consecutive months from December to May. The composites for the positive dipole events in the intertropical Atlantic showed intra-regionally differentiated 11 malaria indices over the state, with Anajás and Itaituba presenting predominance of increased cases, while in Santana do Araguaia and Viseu presented several months with normal rates and below than average. Except for Itaituba, composites for the negative dipole events in the intertropical Atlantic evidenced malaria incidence in the medium and low categories, evolving from November to May.porAcesso AbertoAmazônia orientalDoenças transmissíveisMaláriaVariação climáticaEcossistemaPercentisCrescimento populacionalPará - EstadoIncidência de malária no Estado do Pará e suas relações com a variabilidade climática regionalDissertaçãoCNPQ::CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::GEOCIENCIAS::METEOROLOGIA::CLIMATOLOGIAECOSSISTEMAS AMAZÔNICOS E DINÂMICAS SOCIOAMBIENTAISCLIMA E DINÂMICA SOCIOAMBIENTAL NA AMAZÔNIA